CalcOS

Retirement Planner

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Probability of Success (Monte Carlo)
98.0%Projected · 99%
Good Standing
Projected Nest Egg at Retirement$1,720,040
Sustainable Annual Drawdown (4% SWR)$68,802
Initial Retirement SWR3.49%
Sequence-of-Returns RiskImprove planning safety margin

Implement dynamic spending guardrails (e.g. cut withdrawals by 10% during bear market years).

Early market down years combined with high withdrawals can permanently damage compounding capital.

No Inflation Indexing PowerImprove planning safety margin

Enable inflation adjustment toggle to ensure purchasing power matches CPI growth.

Fixed withdrawals erode purchasing power to inflation over time.

Nest Egg Longevity Sensitivity MatrixWithdrawal vs Annual Return Rate
Withdrawal4.5%5.5%6.5%7.5%8.5%
$48,000.00SurvivesSurvivesSurvivesSurvivesSurvives
$54,000.00SurvivesSurvivesSurvivesSurvivesSurvives
$60,000.00SurvivesSurvivesSurvivesSurvivesSurvives
$66,000.00SurvivesSurvivesSurvivesSurvivesSurvives
$72,000.0088 Yrs OldSurvivesSurvivesSurvivesSurvives

* Displays years until depletion. 'Survives' indicates the portfolio outlives the full projection term.

Scenario Analysis Projections
ScenarioProfileProbability of Success (Monte Carlo)
Base Scenario
Default inputs and growth assumptions$$4,978,555
Conservative
Lower yield, higher inflation, haircutsDepletes at age 89
Optimistic
Favorable yield, lower inflation, growth$$15,402,796
Stress Test
Severe economic crash and high inflationDepletes at age 73

Educational estimate. Future investment returns are uncertain. Not financial advice.

InterpretationExcellent portfolio survival probability, showing high resilience to historical market downturns. Sequence-of-Returns Risk: Early market down years combined with high withdrawals can permanently damage compounding capital. No Inflation Indexing Power: Fixed withdrawals erode purchasing power to inflation over time.

How to Use the Retirement Planner

Ensure your money outlives you with our Retirement Decumulation Planner. This advanced planning tool goes beyond simple safe withdrawal rates to simulate inflation indexing, effective tax rates, and the timing of Social Security or pension benefits. Use the scenario engine to stress-test your portfolio against market downturns, and discover actionable strategies to sustain your target lifestyle.

Input variables:
  • Scenario Mode: Scenario Mode
  • Current Age: Current Age
  • Target Retirement Age: Target Retirement Age
  • Life Expectancy: Life Expectancy
  • Starting Portfolio ($): Starting Portfolio ($)
  • Monthly Contributions ($): Monthly Contributions ($)
  • Current Annual Salary ($): Current Annual Salary ($)
  • Employer Match Rate (%): Employer Match Rate (%)
  • Salary Growth Rate (%): Salary Growth Rate (%)
  • Asset Allocation Profile: Asset Allocation Profile
  • Desired Retirement Spending ($/yr): Desired Retirement Spending ($/yr)
  • Withdrawal Strategy: Withdrawal Strategy
  • Flexible Spending Portion (%): Flexible Spending Portion (%)
  • Effective Tax Rate (%): Effective Tax Rate (%)
  • Expected Inflation Rate (%): Expected Inflation Rate (%)
  • Annual Social Security ($/yr): Annual Social Security ($/yr)
  • Social Security Start Age: Social Security Start Age
  • Other Pension / Annuity ($/yr): Other Pension / Annuity ($/yr)

Retirement Decumulation Planner: Discrete Recurrence & Longevity Math

Master discrete recurrence drawdown modeling, inflation-adjusted spending trajectories, and longevity risk protection in retirement.

Read Full Guide →